Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets: Game 6 Betting Preview
Date & Time: Thursday, May 15th | 8:30 PM ET
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
TV Coverage: ESPN
Point Spread: OKC -4.5 / DEN +4.5
Total: 215.5 points
Money Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -187 / Denver Nuggets +158
Series Status
Oklahoma City leads the series 3-2 after winning Game 5 on Tuesday 112-105. The Thunder can close out the series with a road victory, while Denver must win to force Game 7.
Previous Game Recap (Game 5)
Final Score: Oklahoma City 112, Denver 105
The Thunder rallied from an early deficit after Denver’s 10-0 run. Oklahoma City trailed 86-78 entering the 4th quarter but outscored Denver 34-19 in the final period to secure the victory. OKC was favored by 10 points but failed to cover the spread. The total of 217 points went under the 221.5 line.
Team Analysis
Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14)
- Season Record: 68-14 SU, 56-32 ATS
- Current Form: Won 2 straight
- Last 5 Road Games: 4-1 SU, 1-4 ATS
- Averaging 108 points, allowing 104 in last 5 road games
Denver Nuggets (50-32)
- Season Record: 50-32 SU, 45-47 ATS
- Current Form: Lost 2 straight
- Last 10 Home Games: 5-5 SU, 6-3-1 ATS
- Averaging 109 points in last 10 home games
Notable Injuries
Thunder
- Nikola Topić (Out) – Knee
Nuggets
- Hunter Tyson (Out) – Ankle
- DaRon Holmes II (Out) – Achilles
Key Player Performances (Game 5)
Oklahoma City
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 31 points, 7 assists, 6 rebounds (52.2% FG)
- Jalen Williams: 18 points (35.7% FG)
- Isaiah Hartenstein: 15 points (70% FG)
- Chet Holmgren: 14 points
- Alex Caruso: 13 points
- Luguentz Dort: 12 points (9 in 4th quarter)
Denver
- Nikola Jokić: 44 points, 15 rebounds, 5 three-pointers (71.4% from 3)
- Jamal Murray: 28 points (23.1% from 3, 3 made threes)
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Start Saving Today!Team Statistics (Game 5)
Oklahoma City
- Field Goal Percentage: 50%
- Three-Point Shooting: 12-29 (41.4%)
- Free Throws: 18-23
- Defensive Performance: Allowed 41% FG, 28% from 3
- Steals: 7, Blocks: 6
Denver
- Field Goal Percentage: 41.2%
- Three-Point Shooting: 13-46 (28.3%)
- Defensive Performance: Allowed 50% FG, 41.4% from 3
- Steals: 10
- Defensive Rebounds: 33
Head-to-Head History
In recent matchups between these teams, Denver has gone 4-1 against the spread, but Oklahoma City maintains a positive scoring differential. The Thunder have averaged 115 points per game while allowing 106 in these meetings. Games have averaged 221 total points with an over-under record of 2-3.
Betting Trends
Oklahoma City Thunder
- As favorites in last 3 games: 2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS
- Last 5 road games: 4-1 SU, 1-4 ATS
Denver Nuggets
- Last 10 home games: 5-5 SU, 6-3-1 ATS
- As underdogs in last 10: 4-6 SU, 6-3-1 ATS
Analysis & Prediction
Oklahoma City showed tremendous resilience in Game 5, overcoming a poor start and an 8-point deficit entering the fourth quarter. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was exceptional with 31 points, while the Thunder’s depth proved crucial with multiple players contributing in the decisive final frame.
Denver got another superhuman performance from Nikola Jokić (44 points, 15 rebounds) but couldn’t maintain their early momentum. The Nuggets’ inability to close out games has been a recurring theme, and their defensive struggles in the fourth quarter cost them dearly.
With their backs against the wall, expect Denver to come out with desperate energy at home. The Nuggets have been solid at Ball Arena and have covered the spread well as underdogs this season. Oklahoma City’s recent struggles as favorites and poor road ATS record provide additional value on Denver.
Betting Pick
Denver Nuggets +4.5
The Thunder are in a classic “close-out game” spot where teams often play with less urgency. Denver’s desperation at home, combined with OKC’s poor recent ATS performance as favorites, makes the 4.5 points too generous. Expect a competitive game that stays within the number.
