NASCAR All-Star Open Prediction: Can Anyone Stop Larson?

by | May 17, 2025 | nascar

2025 NASCAR All Star Race

Race Information

  • Race: NASCAR All-Star Open
  • Date: Sunday, May 18th, 2025
  • Track: North Wilkesboro Speedway
  • Time: 5:30pm ET
  • Channel: FS1

What Did We Learn From Last Weekend?

As predicted, Kyle Larson took home the win at Kansas Speedway this past weekend. This was Larson’s 3rd victory of 2025 and his second consecutive at Kansas, sweeping all of the stages. Larson led 221 of the 267 laps. Teammate Alex Bowman finished 5th. Christopher Bell was 2nd, followed by Ryan Blaney and Chase Briscoe. Josh Berry, Ryan Preece, Chris Buescher, Joey Logano, and John Hunter Nemechek rounded out the top 10.

Bell, with 3 wins this season, struggled with tire wear. This win allowed Larson to tie Dale Jarrett for 29th on the career all-time wins list. Larson has a record of 8 stage wins so far this season, the most in the first 12 races.

Where Are We Headed This Weekend?

The drivers head to North Wilkesboro for the All-Star Race weekend for the third straight year. The format includes 2 heat races to set the main event lineup, followed by a 100-lap All-Star Open allowing two additional drivers to qualify. The final spot is determined by a fan vote. The main event is 250 laps with cautions around lap 100 and before lap 220.

Wager on our picks at Bovada!

Odds and Value Picks

Picking a winner for this race can be challenging due to the $1 million purse. Here are potential winners:

  • Winner: Kyle Larson (+500) – Won here in dominating fashion 2 years ago and is on a winning streak.
  • Mid-Range Pick: Ross Chastain (+2000) – Finished 11th in 2023 and has performed well on short tracks this season.
  • Dark Horse: Josh Berry (+2500) – Has struggled overall but shown solid runs on “weirder” tracks like Wilkesboro.

Top 16 After Last Week’s Race:

  1. Kyle Larson
  2. William Byron
  3. Christopher Bell
  4. Chase Elliott
  5. Ryan Blaney
  6. Tyler Reddick
  7. Denny Hamlin
  8. Alex Bowman
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Bubba Wallace
  11. Ross Chastain
  12. Chris Buescher
  13. Chase Briscoe
  14. Austin Cindric
  15. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
  16. Ryan Preece

This weekend promises exciting, fan-centric events at the historic North Wilkesboro Speedway!

 

NASCAR Picks