Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: MLB Betting Preview
Date & Time: Saturday, May 17th | 7:15 PM ET
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
TV Coverage: KMSP
Money Line: Twins -116 / Brewers -101
Run Line: Twins -1.5 / Brewers +1.5
Total: 7.5 runs (Over -114 / Under -106)
Weather: 70 degrees, partly cloudy
Team Standings & Current Form
Minnesota Twins
- Record: 25-20
- Division Standing: 3rd in AL Central, 5 games behind Tigers
- Current Streak: 12 straight wins
- Home/Road Split: 15-6 home, 10-14 road
- Series Record: 8-6 overall, won last 4 series
Milwaukee Brewers
- Record: 21-24
- Division Standing: 4th in NL Central, 5 games behind Cubs
- Home/Road Split: 12-8 home, 9-16 road
- Current Home Streak: Lost 2 straight at home
- Series Record: 7-7 overall
Recent Game Recap
Final Score: Twins 3, Brewers 0
The Twins won the opening game of this series as slight favorites (-117). Minnesota outhit Milwaukee by just two hits despite striking out 16 times. Joe Ryan pitched six shutout innings with nine strikeouts to earn the win, while Cole Sands secured the save. Chad Patrick had a solid outing for the Brewers, allowing only two earned runs in six innings.
Kody Clemens hit a two-run homer for the Twins, while Christian Vazquez added two hits and an RBI.
Starting Pitchers Breakdown
Pablo López (Twins)
- Season Record: 3-2
- ERA: 2.77
- WHIP: 0.97
- Opponents Batting Average: .217
- Quality Starts: 2
- K/9: 9.92
- Last Start: No-decision, 4 ER in 6 IP
- Recent Form: Won 2 straight starts prior to last outing
Tobias Myers (Brewers)
- Season Record: 1-0
- ERA: Not provided
- WHIP: Not provided
- Games Started: 2
- Last Start: No-decision, 2 ER in 4 IP, 3 hits, 3 Ks
- First Start: Win vs. Astros, 5.1 IP, 6 Ks
Offensive Analysis
Minnesota Twins Key Performers
- Team Batting Average: .239
- Team OBP: .309 (below league average)
- Runs Per Game: 4.1 (17th in MLB), 4.7 at home
- Byron Buxton: Team-leading 10 home runs
- Trevor Larnach: 7 home runs, 10/29 (.345) with 2 HRs and 6 RBIs in last 7 games
- Brooks Lee: 2 home runs in last 7 games, batting .207 in that span
Milwaukee Brewers Key Performers
- Team Batting Average: .231 (21st in MLB)
- Runs Per Game: 4.3 (15th in MLB), 4.7 on the road
- Christian Yelich: Tied for team lead in HRs, batting .201, 7/38 (.184) in last 10 games
- Jackson Chourio: Tied for team lead in HRs, batting .253
- Rhys Hoskins: Batting .286 with 5 HRs, 13/36 (.361) with 10 RBIs in recent stretch
Betting Trends
Minnesota Twins
- Straight Up: 25-20
- Over/Under: 16-26
- Run Line: 25-20
- As Underdog: 25-20 (note: source indicates Twins “have yet to be the favorite”)
- Road Record: 10-14, current 6-game road winning streak
Milwaukee Brewers
- Straight Up: 21-24
- Over/Under: 16-26
- Run Line: 21-24
- As Underdog: 21-24
- Home Record: 12-8
Analysis & Prediction
The Twins enter this matchup riding a tremendous 12-game winning streak, while the Brewers have struggled to find consistency, particularly at the plate. Pablo López has been solid for Minnesota with a 2.77 ERA and nearly 10 strikeouts per nine innings. Milwaukee’s offense has underperformed, with key players like Christian Yelich batting well below expectations.
The pitching matchup heavily favors Minnesota, as López brings more experience and better overall numbers than the relatively untested Myers. Additionally, the Twins’ offense has been clicking during their winning streak, while the Brewers continue to struggle, particularly at the bottom of their order.
Betting Pick
Recommendation: Minnesota Twins Money Line (-116)
The Brewers’ lineup is currently struggling, with poor performances from key players like Yelich and Contreras, plus a historically poor record against López. Combined with the Twins’ impressive winning streak and stronger starting pitching, Minnesota offers good value on the money line.
