Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves: MLB Betting Preview
Date: Wednesday, May 7th, 2025 | 7:15 PM ET
Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
TV Coverage: MLBN
Money Line: Reds -114 | Braves -103
Total Line: 8
Betting Preview
Here’s our comprehensive betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cincinnati Reds and the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday, May 7th at Truist Park. We provide you with detailed analysis, current odds, and expert predictions to help with your handicapping decision based on the projected lineups and confirmed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | -114 | -1.5 | O 8 (-104) |
| ATL | -103 | +1.5 | U 8 (-118) |
Wednesday’s matchup features Hunter Greene on the mound for the Reds against Grant Holmes for the Braves. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:15 PM ET, with MLBN broadcasting the game nationally.
The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Reds are slight favorites on the money line at -114 compared to the Braves at -103. Cincinnati enters with an 18-19 record, while Atlanta stands at 17-18.
Team Standings & Current Form
Cincinnati Reds (18-19)
- Division Standing: 4.0 games behind Cubs and Cardinals in NL Central
- Divisional Record: 6-5
- Home/Road Split: 9-10 home, 9-9 road
- Current Streak: Lost 4 straight
- Series Record: 4-6-1, currently 0-2 in this series
Atlanta Braves (17-18)
- Division Standing: 3rd in NL East, 5 games behind Mets
- Divisional Record: 3-2
- Home/Road Split: 11-5 home, 6-13 road
- Current Streak: Won 3 straight
- Series Record: 5-5-1, currently 2-0 in this series
Previous Game Recap
Atlanta secured a 2-1 victory over Cincinnati in the most recent game of this series. The Braves mounted a late comeback, scoring one run in the 8th inning and another in the 9th to claim the win. Entering the game, Atlanta was a heavy favorite at -226 on the money line.
The Reds wasted a strong performance from Andrew Abbott, who allowed just one run over five innings. Lyon Richardson suffered the loss for Cincinnati, while Raisel Iglesias earned the win in relief for Atlanta. Braves starter Chris Sale was impressive, tossing 6 2/3 scoreless innings.
Sean Murphy was the standout performer for the Braves, going 2-for-3 with an RBI. For the Reds, Elly De La Cruz and Austin Wynns each collected two hits.
Projected Lineups
Cincinnati Reds
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 1 | CF |
| Matt McLain | 2 | 2B |
| Elly De La Cruz | 3 | SS |
| Gavin Lux | 4 | DH |
| Blake Dunn | 5 | LF |
| Spencer Steer | 6 | 1B |
| Noelvi Marte | 7 | 3B |
| Jake Fraley | 8 | RF |
| Tyler Stephenson | 9 | C |
| Hunter Greene | – | SP |
Atlanta Braves
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1 | LF |
| Austin Riley | 2 | 3B |
| Marcell Ozuna | 3 | DH |
| Matt Olson | 4 | 1B |
| Ozzie Albies | 5 | 2B |
| Michael Harris II | 6 | CF |
| Sean Murphy | 7 | C |
| Eli White | 8 | RF |
| Nick Allen | 9 | SS |
| Grant Holmes | – | SP |
Team Records
Cincinnati Reds: 18-19 SU / OU 16-20 / Runline 18-19
Atlanta Braves: 17-18 SU / OU 15-17 / Runline 17-18
Pitching Matchup Analysis
Hunter Greene (CIN)
- Season Record: 4-2
- ERA: 2.53
- WHIP: 0.82
- Opponents’ Batting Average: .174
- Home/Road Split: 1.6 ERA at home, 6.5 ERA on road
- Recent Form: Win vs. Nationals on May 2nd (6 IP, 1 ER)
Grant Holmes (ATL)
- Season Record: 2-2
- ERA: 4.24
- WHIP: 1.21
- Opponents’ Batting Average: .190
- Strikeouts Per 9: 9.26
- Walks Per 9: 5.03
- Quality Starts: 2
- Recent Form: Loss vs. Dodgers on May 2nd (6 IP, 2 ER)
Offensive Comparison
Cincinnati Reds
Key Performers:
- Elly De La Cruz: .266 BA, 5 HR, 8th in MLB in RBIs
- Austin Hays: .365 BA, 5 HR, 7th in MLB in RBIs
- Matt McLain: .165 BA with power potential
- Santiago Espinal: Hot streak with 9-for-23 in last six games, on a seven-game hitting streak
Struggling Hitters:
- Jake Fraley: 2-for-8 in last four games
- Tyler Stephenson: 3-for-17 in last five games
Atlanta Braves
Team Stats:
- Runs Per Game: 4.0 (18th in MLB)
- Team Batting Average: .241 (14th in MLB)
- Home Runs: 9th most in MLB
Key Performers:
- Austin Riley: .290 BA, on a five-game hitting streak, 11-for-43 with 2 HR and 7 RBIs in last 10 games
- Sean Murphy: .224 BA, 7 HR (2nd on team), 14 RBIs (4th on team)
Analysis and Prediction
This National League matchup features two teams heading in opposite directions. Cincinnati enters on a four-game losing streak after a hot start in April, while Atlanta has won three straight and appears to be finding its rhythm, particularly at home where they boast an impressive 11-5 record.
The pitching matchup favors the Reds with Hunter Greene bringing his stellar 2.53 ERA to the mound against Grant Holmes (4.24 ERA). However, it’s worth noting Greene’s significant home/road split (1.6 ERA at home vs. 6.5 ERA on the road), which could be a factor at Truist Park.
Cincinnati’s offense has been inconsistent lately despite having dangerous hitters like Elly De La Cruz and Austin Hays. Atlanta’s lineup hasn’t been exceptional (18th in runs per game), but they’re finding ways to win, especially at home.
Betting Pick: Cincinnati Reds (-114)
Despite their recent struggles, the Reds have the pitching advantage with Hunter Greene, who is coming off a strong outing. Look for Cincinnati’s offense to finally break out against Grant Holmes, whose 5.03 walks per nine innings could spell trouble against a patient lineup. The value on the Reds at -114 makes them the recommended play for this matchup.
