The New York Yankees head into Angel Stadium for the second game of their three-game set against the Los Angeles Angels riding high after a dominant 5-1 victory in the opener. Carlos Rodón takes the mound for the Yankees looking to extend their winning streak to four games, while Tyler Anderson hopes to help the Angels snap their three-game skid. Both southpaws have been effective this season, but with Aaron Judge and the Yankees’ offense heating up, the Halos face an uphill battle.
Quick Picks:
- Best Bet: Yankees -1.5 (-117) ★★★★☆
- Top Prop: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130) ★★★★☆
- Value Play: Over 9 Runs (-106) ★★★☆☆
Yankees vs Angels Betting Odds & Latest Line Movement
| Market | Yankees | Angels |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -190 | +158 |
| Run Line | -1.5 (-117) | +1.5 (-103) |
| Total | Over 9 (-106) | Under 9 (-114) |
Opening Line: Yankees -185, Total 8.5
Sharp Money Analysis: Where Pro Bettors Are Placing Their Wagers
Early action has pushed the total up from 8.5 to 9, suggesting sharp money believes in the offenses tonight. The Yankees’ moneyline has seen slight movement from -185 to -190, indicating steady confidence in the road favorite. The run line juice has also shifted slightly in the Yankees’ favor, with professional bettors seemingly comfortable laying the 1.5 runs with Rodón on the mound.
Pitching Matchup: Carlos Rodón vs Tyler Anderson – Who Has the Edge?
Yankees: Carlos Rodón (6-3, 2.88 ERA)
- 65.2 IP with 80 strikeouts and 26 walks
- 0.96 WHIP with opponents hitting just .209 against him
- Has pitched at least 6 innings in 7 of his last 8 starts
- Coming off a dominant 7-inning, 2-hit performance against Texas
Angels: Tyler Anderson (2-1, 3.60 ERA)
- 55 IP with 43 strikeouts and 23 walks
- 1.24 WHIP with opponents hitting .248 against him
- Has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 8 of his 10 starts this season
- More effective at home (2.94 ERA) than on the road (4.32 ERA)
Advantage: Yankees. Rodón has been the more dominant pitcher with superior strikeout numbers and a significantly lower WHIP. His ability to work deep into games gives the Yankees a distinct edge in the starting pitching matchup.
Bullpen Breakdown
The Yankees’ bullpen remains one of their biggest strengths despite some recent hiccups from Devin Williams. Luke Weaver has stepped up in the closer role, though he’s pitched in 5 of the last 7 games and might be unavailable tonight. The Angels’ relief corps has been middle-of-the-pack with a 3.98 ERA but lacks the depth and dominance of New York’s unit. If this game comes down to the late innings, the advantage clearly lies with the Yankees.
Key Betting Trends & Team Statistics That Matter
- Yankees are 14-4 in their last 18 games and 33-20 overall this season
- Angels have lost 3 straight after winning 8 in a row
- Yankees are 6-1 in Rodón’s last 7 road starts
- Angels are 3-7 in their last 10 games against left-handed starters
- The OVER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these teams
- Yankees are 17-11 on the road this season
- Angels are 13-14 at home this season
Aaron Judge’s Historic Start: Can Anyone Slow Down the Yankees Slugger?
Aaron Judge is on a historic pace in 2025, leading MLB with a .398 batting average while adding 18 home runs and 47 RBIs. The Angels will have their hands full trying to contain Judge, who has hit safely in 14 of his last 15 games. Tyler Anderson has historically struggled against power hitters, surrendering 9 home runs already this season. Judge’s ability to hit for both average and power makes him the most dangerous hitter in this matchup and perhaps in all of baseball right now.
Angel Stadium Factor: How the Venue Influences Today’s Game
Angel Stadium plays relatively neutral but tends to favor pitchers during night games when the marine layer rolls in. The 9:38 pm ET start time could help suppress some power, though Judge and company have shown they can hit homers in any park. The right field dimensions (330 feet down the line) are particularly favorable for left-handed power hitters like Cody Bellinger, who could take advantage against Anderson, a pitcher who has surrendered more homers to lefties than righties this season.
Expert Prediction & Best Bets for Yankees-Angels Showdown
Primary Play: Yankees -1.5 (-117)
The Yankees are playing exceptional baseball right now and have the superior starting pitcher in Rodón. After winning the opener 5-1, they’ve now outscored opponents 24-6 over their last three games. The Angels’ offense has gone cold, scoring just 3 runs total during their three-game losing streak. With the way Rodón has been pitching and Judge has been hitting, I expect New York to win by multiple runs.
Strong Value Play: Over 9 Runs (-106)
While both starters have been solid, there’s offensive firepower on both sides that could push this game over the total. The Yankees are averaging 5.68 runs per game this season, while the Angels showed they can still hit homers with Neto’s blast last night. Anderson has allowed at least 3 runs in each of his last four starts, and the Yankees’ lineup is too deep to be held down for consecutive games.
Worth Considering: Carlos Rodón Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-120)
Rodón has been a strikeout machine this season, averaging 10.9 K/9. The Angels strike out at a higher rate than average (9.87 K/game), and Rodón has exceeded 6 strikeouts in 8 of his 11 starts this season. Coming off strong performances, I expect him to rack up at least 7 Ks against an Angels lineup that looked overmatched against Yarbrough’s much less overpowering stuff last night.
Player Props Worth Targeting in Today’s Matchup
| Player | Prop | Odds | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | Over 1.5 Total Bases | -130 | ★★★★☆ |
| Paul Goldschmidt | Over 1.5 Hits | +180 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Taylor Ward | To Hit a Home Run | +340 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Cody Bellinger | Over 0.5 RBIs | +145 | ★★★☆☆ |
| Carlos Rodón | Over 6.5 Strikeouts | -120 | ★★★★☆ |
Final Thoughts: Yankees’ Road Dominance Set to Continue
The Yankees are playing their best baseball of the season right now, and with Rodón on the mound, they have a significant advantage in this matchup. The Angels have cooled off considerably after their eight-game winning streak, and their offense hasn’t shown any signs of breaking out of their slump. While Tyler Anderson has been serviceable, he doesn’t have the firepower to shut down this Yankees lineup that features MLB’s best hitter in Aaron Judge.
Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Angels 3