Game Information
Date & Time: Sunday, May 18, 2025 | 7:10 PM ET
Location: Yankee Stadium, New York, NY
TV Coverage: ESPN
Money Line: Mets +148 / Yankees -176
Run Line: Mets +1.5 / Yankees -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs (Over -112, Under -109)
Team Standings & Current Form
New York Mets
- Record: 29-17
- Division Standing: 1st in NL East, 1.5 games ahead
- Last 10 Games: N/A
- Home/Road Split: 17-5 home, 12-12 road
- Over/Under: 16-28
- Series Record: 9-4-1
- Recent Form: Won three straight series
New York Yankees
- Record: 26-19
- Division Standing: 1st in AL East, 4 games ahead
- Last 10 Games: 7-3
- Home/Road Split: 14-9 home, 12-10 road
- Over/Under: 20-23
- Series Record: 8-6
- Recent Form: Won three straight series
Recent Game Recap
Final Score: Mets 3, Yankees 2
The New York Mets picked up a 3-2 road win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Mets offense only had two more hits than the Yankees and struck out six times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at +113 on the money line.
Pete Alonso, DJ LeMahieu, and Cody Bellinger each homered for their respective teams. Alonso and Jasson Dominguez each had two hits and an RBI for the Mets’ offense.
Griffin Canning got the start for the Mets, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out four. Reed Garrett got the win out of the bullpen, and Edwin Diaz got the save. Fernando Cruz took the loss for the Yankees out of the bullpen.
Starting Pitchers Breakdown
David Peterson (Mets)
- Season Record: 2-2
- ERA: 3.04
- WHIP: 1.35
- Opponents Batting Average: .254
- Strikeouts Per 9: 8.73
- Walks Per 9: 3.25
- Quality Starts: 4
- Last Start: No-decision, 6 innings, 2 ER, 7 hits
Max Fried (Yankees)
- Season Record: 6-0
- ERA: 1.11
- Opponents Batting Average: .189
- Strikeouts Per 9: 8.26
- Walks Per 9: 2.06
- Quality Starts: 6
- Home/Road Split: 1.57 ERA home, 0.85 ERA road
- Last Start: 5 innings, 1 ER, 2 HR allowed
Offensive Analysis
New York Mets Key Performers
- Team Offense: 4.6 runs per game (12th in league), 6th best team on-base percentage, 9th in batting average, 5th fewest strikeouts
- Pete Alonso: Leading team with .308 batting average
- Francisco Lindor: Batting .290 for season, 10/33 with 2 HR recently
- Brett Baty: 7/20 with 4 HR and 7 RBIs over past 8 games
New York Yankees Key Performers
- Team Offense: 5.8 runs per game at home, 5.7 runs per game on road, .262 team batting average (2nd in league), league leaders in home runs and isolated power (.214)
- Aaron Judge: Batting .402 with 15 HR and league-leading 41 RBIs
- Trent Grisham: Batting .274 with 12 HR, 5/19 with 2 HR in last 5 games
- Cody Bellinger: 8/21 in last 5 games including a home run
Projected Lineups
New York Mets
- Francisco Lindor (SS)
- Juan Soto (RF)
- Pete Alonso (1B)
- Mark Vientos (3B)
- Starling Marte (DH)
- Brandon Nimmo (LF)
- Luis Torrens (C)
- Luisangel Acuña (2B)
- Tyrone Taylor (CF)
New York Yankees
- Paul Goldschmidt (1B)
- Cody Bellinger (LF)
- Aaron Judge (RF)
- Ben Rice (DH)
- Anthony Volpe (SS)
- Austin Wells (C)
- DJ LeMahieu (2B)
- Pablo Reyes (3B)
- Trent Grisham (CF)
Betting Trends
New York Mets
- Straight Up: 29-17
- Over/Under: 16-28
- Recently: Won three straight series
New York Yankees
- Straight Up: 26-19
- Over/Under: 20-23
- Recently: 7-3 in last 10 games, won three straight series
Analysis & Prediction
The Yankees are coming into Sunday night’s matchup as the heavy favorite with Max Fried on the mound. This will be the rubber match of the series, as the Mets pulled one out late in game 2. This projects to be another low-scoring game, with Fried’s dominant 1.11 ERA facing off against Peterson’s respectable 3.04 ERA.
The Yankees’ offense has been more productive this season (5.8 runs per game at home vs. the Mets’ 4.6 overall), and they have the more consistent pitcher in Fried, who is a perfect 6-0 on the season. While the Mets have shown they can compete in this series, the Yankees’ home field advantage and pitching edge give them a significant advantage.
Betting Pick
Yankees -1.5 (Run Line)
With Max Fried’s excellent pitching and the Yankees’ superior offensive production at home, expect New York to win by multiple runs in this rubber match.
