New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Betting Preview
Date: Tuesday, May 6th, 2025 | 9:40 PM ET
Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
TV Coverage: SNY
Money Line: Mets -105 | Diamondbacks -113
Total Line: 9
Betting Preview
Here’s our comprehensive betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday, May 6th at Chase Field. We provide you with thorough analysis, current odds, and expert predictions to help with your handicapping decision based on the projected lineups and confirmed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | -105 | -1.5 | O 9 (-109) |
| ARI | -113 | +1.5 | U 9 (-110) |
The Mets and Diamondbacks are set to face off in an NL matchup at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday at Chase Field in Phoenix. The betting lines are tight with the Mets listed as slight favorites at -105 compared to the Diamondbacks at -113. The over/under line is set at nine runs.
New York will send David Peterson to the mound, while Arizona counters with Zac Gallen. The Mets enter with a strong 23-13 record, currently leading the NL East, while the Diamondbacks sit at 18-17, placing them 4th in the NL West. The game will be televised on SNY.
Team Standings & Current Form
New York Mets (23-13)
- Division Standing: 1st in NL East, 3 games ahead of Philadelphia
- Divisional Record: 9-4
- Home/Road Split: 13-3 home, 10-10 road
- As Favorite/Underdog: 0-0 as favorite, 23-13 as underdog
- Series Record: 6-4-1, lost two straight series
Arizona Diamondbacks (18-17)
- Division Standing: 4th in NL West, 6 games behind Los Angeles
- Divisional Record: 0-0 (have not played NL West teams yet)
- Home/Road Split: 8-9 home, 10-8 road
- As Favorite/Underdog: 0-0 as favorite, 18-17 as underdog
- Series Record: 5-5-1
Previous Matchup
New York rallied for three runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this series, securing a 5-4 win. The Mets scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score again until their 8th inning rally. They entered as +101 underdogs on the money line.
Griffin Canning started for the Mets, going five innings and allowing just one run with one strikeout. Edwin Díaz closed out the win. For Arizona, Ryne Nelson pitched 4 1/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs on three hits.
Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor homered for the Mets, while Tyrone Taylor went 2-for-3 with a run and an RBI. Corbin Carroll hit Arizona’s only home run, going 2-for-4 with three RBIs.
Projected Lineups
New York Mets
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor | 1 | SS |
| Juan Soto | 2 | RF |
| Pete Alonso | 3 | 1B |
| Brandon Nimmo | 4 | LF |
| Mark Vientos | 5 | 3B |
| Starling Marte | 6 | DH |
| Francisco Alvarez | 7 | C |
| Jeff McNeil | 8 | 2B |
| Tyrone Taylor | 9 | CF |
| David Peterson | – | SP |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player | Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte | 1 | 2B |
| Corbin Carroll | 2 | RF |
| Randal Grichuk | 3 | DH |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | 4 | LF |
| Josh Naylor | 5 | 1B |
| Eugenio Suárez | 6 | 3B |
| Gabriel Moreno | 7 | C |
| Alek Thomas | 8 | CF |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 9 | SS |
| Zac Gallen | – | SP |
Team Records
New York Mets: 23-13 SU / OU 14-22 / Runline 23-13
Arizona Diamondbacks: 18-17 SU / OU 17-15 / Runline 18-17
Pitching Matchup Analysis
David Peterson (NYM)
- Season Record: 2-1
- ERA: 3.06
- Starts: 6
- Quality Starts: 2
- Strikeouts Per 9: 8.35
- Walks Per 9: 2.51
- Opponents’ Batting Average: .273
- Recent Form: Won vs. Diamondbacks, 5 IP, 1 ER
Zac Gallen (ARI)
- Season Record: 2-4
- ERA: 4.93
- WHIP: 1.30
- Starts: 7
- Quality Starts: 3
- Strikeouts Per 9: 10.1
- Walks Per 9: 4.23
- Opponents’ Batting Average: .218
- Recent Form: Won vs. Mets on May 1st, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H
Offensive Comparison
New York Mets
- Runs Per Game: 4.8 (9th in MLB)
- Road Runs Per Game: 5.0
- Team Batting Average: .253 (8th in MLB)
- On-Base Percentage: 5th in MLB
Key Performers:
- Pete Alonso: .349 BA, 33 RBIs (2nd in MLB), on a 5-game hitting streak, 8-for-21 with 2 HR and 5 RBIs in last 5 games
- Francisco Lindor: .289 BA, on a 4-game hitting streak
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Runs Per Game: 5.1 (Top tier in MLB)
- Road Runs Per Game: 5.3
- Slugging Percentage: 4th in MLB
- OPS: 4th in MLB
- Walks: 2nd in MLB
Key Performers:
- Corbin Carroll: .287 BA, 10 HR
- Eugenio Suárez: .198 BA, 10 HR, heating up with 11-for-38 with 4 HR in last 10 games
Expert Analysis and Prediction
This matchup features a tight money line with David Peterson and Zac Gallen set to duel on the mound. Both pitchers faced these same opponents in their previous starts, with each performing well. Despite the Mets’ strong overall record, they’ve been more vulnerable on the road (10-10) compared to their dominant home form (13-3).
Arizona’s offense ranks among the league’s best, particularly excelling in slugging percentage and drawing walks. While the Mets have a formidable lineup led by the red-hot Pete Alonso, Gallen’s previous success against them (6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H on May 1st) suggests he may have their number.
Betting Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (-113)
Gallen should build on his previous outing against the Mets and put together another strong performance at home. The Diamondbacks’ offensive capabilities, particularly their power and patience at the plate, should provide enough support to secure a win in this closely contested matchup.
