Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction: Gallen vs. Senga Odds & Pick (May 1)

by | May 1, 2025 | mlb

Zac Gallen Arizona Starting Pitcher

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets
Date: Thursday, May 1st, 1:10 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Diamondbacks +134/Mets -157
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Diamondbacks on Thursday, May 1st at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
ARI +134 +1.5 O 7.5 (-118)
NYM -157 -1.5 U 7.5 (-104)

At 1:10 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Mets square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are the heavy favorites on the money line (-157). The money line odds for the Diamondbacks are sitting at +134, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

MLBN is carrying today’s TV coverage, and Kodai Senga is starting for the Mets, while the Diamondbacks are going with Zac Gallen. Gallen will look to help the Diamondbacks move into 3rd in the NL West, as they are 16-14. The Mets are 21-10 and lead the NL East.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Corbin Carroll 1 RF
Geraldo Perdomo 2 SS
Pavin Smith 3 DH
Josh Naylor 4 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 5 LF
Eugenio Suárez 6 3B
Gabriel Moreno 7 C
Alek Thomas 8 CF
Tim Tawa 9 2B
Zac Gallen SP

 

Player Batting Order Position
Francisco Lindor 1 SS
Juan Soto 2 RF
Pete Alonso 3 1B
Brandon Nimmo 4 LF
Mark Vientos 5 3B
Jesse Winker 6 DH
Francisco Alvarez 7 C
Tyrone Taylor 8 CF
Luisangel Acuña 9 2B
Kodai Senga SP

Get dimelines plus reduced juice on totals and runline bets at BetAnySports!

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Arizona Diamondbacks: 16-14 SU / OU 16-11 / Runline 16-14
New York Mets: 21-10 SU / OU 11-20 / Runline 21-10

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets and Diamondbacks series. New York had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 7th and another two in the 9th, but still fell short with the Diamondbacks winning 4-3. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -109 on the money line.

Arizona got to Mets starter Huascar Brazoban, scoring four runs in just two innings against him. As for the Mets, they could only muster three runs off Diamondbacks starter Corbin Burnes, who went six innings and picked up a win.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. was the only Diamondbacks hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4 with an RBI. Geraldo Perdomo also had a two RBI game at the plate.

Diamondbacks Records & Recent Play

Arizona is 16-14 overall heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets. The Diamondbacks are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they have yet to play a game vs. another NL West team.

The Diamondbacks have gone just 4-6 over their last 10 games and are looking to even up their series with the Mets today. Arizona is 8-8 at home this year and has gone 8-6 on the road. As the underdog, the Diamondbacks have posted an even 16-14 mark, and they have yet to be the favorite in a game this year. So far, they have dropped three straight series and have an overall series record of 4-4-1.

Mets Records & Recent Play

New York is 21-10 overall, and they lead the NL East by 3.5 games over the Phillies. The Mets are 9-4 in divisional games this year. At home, the Mets have gone 13-2, and they are an even 8-8 on the road.

So far, the Mets have yet to be the underdog in a game. New York is 6-2-1 in series this year. They will look to pick up the series win today, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games overall.

More Free Picks: Get Today’s Free Best Bets >>>

Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Mets on the road. Gallen has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 5.57. Looking at his overall numbers, Gallen has a WHIP of 1.39, and opponents are batting .236 this season. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Gallen has given up at least two homers in three of his last four starts. So far, he has made two road starts and has a record of 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA.

Getting the start for the Mets is Kodai Senga, who has picked up wins in each of his first two starts. He has yet to allow an earned run this season, and in his last outing, he went six innings and struck out five against the Nationals. Senga has not allowed a home run yet this season.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Offense Outlook

Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams so far, and they also do a good job of avoiding strikeouts and drawing walks. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 13th in the league.

Corbin Carroll and Eugenio Suarez have been the team’s top power threats so far, with Carroll’s nine homers ranking 2nd in the league and Suarez’s 10 homers leading all of baseball. However, Suarez is batting just .200 for the season. He has been hot of late, though, going 9/28 in his last eight games with four homers. Geraldo Perdomo has also been swinging the bat well, as he is on a three-game hitting streak and is 5th in the league with 24 RBIs.

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, also averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Mets are batting .246, which is 11th in the league, and have the 7th-best slugging percentage in the MLB. New York’s offense is also near the top of the league in OPS and isolated power.

Pete Alonso has been one of the league’s top power hitters so far, as his seven home runs are 4th in the MLB. He is also 2nd in the league with 28 RBIs. Alonso is batting .343 and has a team-high OBP of .474. Francisco Lindor has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/35 in his last nine games with three homers.

Free Diamondbacks vs. Mets MLB Pick

With Zac Gallen and Kodai Senga on the mound, I’m expecting this early afternoon game at Citi Field to be a low-scoring game. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and I think runs will be hard to come by. Look for this matchup to stay below 7.5 runs, and I’m taking the under.

Bankroll running low? End that problem with a fat 100% bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you enter bonus code XPREDICT at Xbet Sportsbook!

100% Free Play up to $1,000 (Crypto Only)

BONUS CODE: PREDICTEM

BetOnline

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We’ve got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!