Cubs vs. Brewers Prediction: Expert Moneyline Pick

by | May 2, 2025 | mlb

Ben Brown Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Friday, May 2nd, 8:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: APLTV
Money Line: Cubs -116/Brewers -102
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cubs on Friday, May 2nd at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CHC -116 -1.5 O 8.5 (-111)
MIL -102 +1.5 U 8.5 (-109)

Friday’s matchup between the Cubs and Brewers is set to get started at 8:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The moneyline odds have the Cubs at -116 compared to the Brewers at -102. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Chicago is currently 19-13 and is starting Ben Brown, while the Brewers are 16-16 and are starting Quinn Priester. The Cubs are in 1st place in the NL Central, while the Brewers are 3rd in the division. APLTV is carrying this one on TV.

Cubs vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Ian Happ 1 LF
Kyle Tucker 2 RF
Seiya Suzuki 3 DH
Michael Busch 4 1B
Dansby Swanson 5 SS
Nico Hoerner 6 2B
Pete Crow-Armstrong 7 CF
Miguel Amaya 8 C
Jon Berti 9 3B
Ben Brown SP

 

Player Batting Order Position
Brice Turang 1 2B
Jackson Chourio 2 LF
Christian Yelich 3 DH
William Contreras 4 C
Sal Frelick 5 CF
Rhys Hoskins 6 1B
Jake Bauers 7 RF
Joey Ortiz 8 SS
Caleb Durbin 9 3B
Quinn Priester SP

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Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Chicago Cubs: 19-13 SU / OU 20-11 / Runline 19-13
Milwaukee Brewers: 16-16 SU / OU 13-16 / Runline 16-16

Cubs Records & Recent Play

Chicago closed out their series vs. the Pirates with an 8-3 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +107 on the money line. It was a big third inning for the Cubs, as they scored three runs in the inning and added another three runs in the 5th to put things out of reach. Chicago’s offense was carried by Seiya Suzuki, who went 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs.

Colin Rea got the start for the Cubs, going six innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Chicago is 19-13 overall heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers. The Cubs hold a two-game lead in the NL Central over the Reds and won their most recent series vs. the Pirates. So far, they are 2-1 in division games.

At home, the Cubs are 9-7 this year and have gone 10-6 on the road. Chicago has yet to play a game as the favorite this year, and they are 19-13 as the underdog. The Cubs have an overall series record of 7-3-1 this season, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.

Brewers Records & Recent Play

The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the White Sox with an 8-0 loss. Milwaukee was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the White Sox scored three times in the first.

Offensively, the Brewers only had two fewer hits than the White Sox but didn’t score a run. Both of their hits were singles and came in the 2nd and 3rd innings. Chad Patrick got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits.

Milwaukee is hosting the Cubs today with an even 16-16 record, and they are 3rd in the NL Central, three games behind the Cubs. The Brewers closed out their series vs. the White Sox with two straight wins to take the series 2-1.

At home, the Brewers have been good this year, going 9-4, compared to 7-12 on the road. So far, they have yet to win a game as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, they are 16-16 this year. The Brewers have an overall series record of 6-4.

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Pitching Matchup

Chicago is sending right-hander Ben Brown to the mound today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Brown has made five starts this season and has a record of 2-2 with a 6.04 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Brown has a WHIP of 1.90, and opponents are batting .318 this season. In his last outing, Brown took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up six earned runs on nine hits. He has allowed at least one home run in three of his last four outings. Brown’s ERA at home is 8.74 compared to 2.70 on the road.

Quinn Priester will be making his 4th start of the season for the Brewers, and he will be taking on the Cubs at home. In his last start, Priester went five innings and gave up five runs on eight hits and three walks, but he did strike out 5. He started the year with a win vs. the Tigers, and he has not given up a home run yet this year.

Cubs vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

Chicago’s offense has been the best in the league so far, averaging six runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 6.5 runs per contest. The Cubs are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and have the league’s 2nd best team batting average at .264.

Seiya Suzuki and Kyle Tucker have been the Cubs’ most dangerous home run threats this season, as Suzuki’s 9 homers are 2nd in the league and Tucker’s 8 are 3rd. Tucker also comes into the game with the league’s 3rd best batting average and is 3rd in the league with 28 RBIs. Suzuki has been hot of late, going 9/25 with three homers over his last six games.

Brice Turang has been the Brewers’ top hitter so far this season, batting .311 with three homers. He is also 4th on the team with 15 RBIs. Turang’s three homers are 8th in the league right now. Milwaukee’s top power hitter has been Jackson Chourio, who has six homers and is batting .263.

Christian Yelich is batting just .220 this season but has gone 9/35 in his last nine games, including one homer and eight RBIs. Jake Bauers and Caleb Durbin have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Bauers going 6/19 in his last eight games and Durbin batting .267 over his last 10 games.

Free Cubs vs. Brewers MLB Pick

After getting traded to the Brewers to bolster their depleted staff, he pitched well. However, he is starting to come back down to earth and is facing a good Cubs lineup. I like Chicago on the money line for Game 1.

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