Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date & Time: Monday, May 5th, 2025 | 7:40 PM ET
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
TV Coverage: SCHN
Betting Odds: Astros -104 | Brewers -113
Over/Under: 8 runs
Key Matchup Insights
The Houston Astros (17-16) travel to Milwaukee for an interleague battle against the Brewers (17-18) at American Family Field. This Monday night showdown features two teams looking to build momentum following mixed results in their recent series.
Current Form
Houston Astros
- Standing: 3rd in AL West, 3 games behind Seattle
- Last 10 Games: 5-5
- Home/Road Split: 11-7 home, 6-9 road
- Recent Series: Lost 2 of 3 against White Sox
Milwaukee Brewers
- Standing: 4th in NL Central, 4 games behind Chicago
- Last 10 Games: 4-6
- Home/Road Split: 10-6 home, 7-12 road
- Recent Series: Won final game vs. Cubs, but lost series 2-1
Starting Pitchers Breakdown
Ronel Blanco (HOU)
- Season Record: 2-2
- ERA: 5.08
- WHIP: 1.31
- Strikeouts: 8.26 K/9
- Home/Road Split: 3.94 ERA at home, 13.50 ERA on road
- Recent Form: No-decision in last start (5 IP, 3 ER)
- Key Concern: Has allowed home runs in three consecutive starts
Tobias Myers (MIL)
- Season Record: 0-0
- Appearances: 3 (2 starts)
- Innings Pitched: 7.0 total
- Strikeouts: 8
- Performance Note: Has yet to exceed 4 innings in any outing
- Recent Starts: 2 IP, 2 ER in each of his two starts
Team Offensive Analysis
Houston Astros
- Team Batting Average: .243 (11th in MLB)
- Runs Per Game: 4.0 (19th in MLB)
- Home Runs: 18th in MLB
Key Performers:
- Jeremy Peña: .282 BA, 4 HR, hot streak of 12-for-31 in last seven games
- Yordan Alvarez: .210 BA, 4 HR, team-leading 18 RBIs
- Isaac Paredes: Recent acquisition adding power to the lineup
Milwaukee Brewers
- Team Batting Average: Middle of the pack in MLB
- Power Threats: Solid mix of contact and power throughout lineup
Key Performers:
- Brice Turang: .315 BA, 3 HR
- Jackson Chourio: Team-leading 6 HR and 24 RBIs (8th in MLB)
- Christian Yelich: 5 HR, veteran presence in lineup
- Isaac Collins: Hot streak of 5-for-18 with 1 HR in last six games
- Rhys Hoskins: Struggling (2-for-20 in last seven games)
Betting Trends
Houston Astros
- Against the Spread: 17-16
- Over/Under Record: 15-16
Milwaukee Brewers
- Against the Spread: 17-18
- Over/Under Record: 14-18
Expected Lineups
Houston Astros
- Jeremy Peña (SS)
- Jose Altuve (LF)
- Yordan Alvarez (DH)
- Isaac Paredes (3B)
- Christian Walker (1B)
- Yainer Diaz (C)
- Cam Smith (RF)
- Jake Meyers (CF)
- Mauricio Dubón (2B)
Milwaukee Brewers
- Brice Turang (2B)
- Jackson Chourio (CF)
- Christian Yelich (DH)
- William Contreras (C)
- Sal Frelick (RF)
- Rhys Hoskins (1B)
- Jake Bauers (LF)
- Joey Ortiz (SS)
- Caleb Durbin (3B)
Analysis and Prediction
This matchup presents an interesting clash between two teams with similar records but different strengths. The Astros have been much stronger at home (11-7) than on the road (6-9), which presents a concern heading into American Family Field. Meanwhile, the Brewers have leveraged their home-field advantage effectively with a 10-6 record in Milwaukee.
The pitching matchup clearly favors Houston, with Blanco providing more consistent innings despite his recent struggles. Myers has yet to demonstrate he can work deep into games, which could tax the Brewers’ bullpen early.
Offensively, watch for Peña to continue his hot streak at the plate for Houston, while Chourio remains the most dangerous bat in the Brewers lineup. Yelich’s veteran presence could be a difference-maker in this interleague contest.
Betting Pick: Houston Astros (-104)
While the Brewers have the home-field advantage, the Astros’ more established starting pitcher and slightly more consistent offensive production gives them the edge in this matchup. Expect a close game that could come down to bullpen performance, but Houston should prevail on the road.
Prediction: Astros 5, Brewers 3
