Knicks at Celtics Prop Bet Prediction

Date: Game two, Wednesday May 7th, 7:00 p.m. EST
New York leads 1-0

In game one of the NY vs Boston series, I posted a recommended play in the PredictEm forum on the Over 14′, -120, for Derrick White’s points prop.

He put up 19.

In game two, our sponsor Bovada is offering this same prop at 15′, -115.
That’s just one point higher and five cents better on the price, which has me thinking, “Hit Me Baby One More Time.”

No, obviously, I’m not a fan of Britney’s music, but ya gotta love her recent, fearless “modeling” efforts when posting selfies.
(Crazy Bitch.)

But I digress.
Let’s get back to ‘capping.

Here are some of the reasons I listed in my game one analysis:

White’s regular season average is 16.4 PPG.
His postseason average is 17.2 PPG.
And his number for game one is 14′.

In four games vs. NY this season, he’s scored 24, 17, 29, and 14.
That’s an average of 21.
And his number for game one is 14′.

In the two Hm games vs NY, he scored 24 and 17. That’s an average of 20.5.
AND HIS NUMBER FOR GAME ONE IS 14′.

Now, let’s update those stats.

In five games vs. NY this season, he’s scored 24, 17, 29, 14, and 19.
That’s an average of 20.3 PPG.
And his number for game two is just 15′.

In three Hm games vs NY, he’s scored 24, 17, and 19. That’s an average of 20 PPG.
And his number for game two is just 15′.

Here’s his stat line from game one:
FG 6-18, 33%, three-point shots 5-16, 23%.

Let’s compare those to his 2024/25 regular season numbers: FG 44.2, three-point shots 38.4.

On FG’s in Game One, he shot 11.2% worse than his season average and 15.4 worse than his season average on threes.
Despite this, he STILL put up 19 points.
AND HIS NUMBER FOR GAME TWO IS JUST 15′.

White took 18 shots in game one.
In five previous games this postseason he averaged 12.6 shots per game, so it’s reasonable to deduce that his quantity of shots taken in game two will likely decrease.
But based on his season averages for FG’s and three’s it’s also reasonable to believe that his shooting percentages will improve.

Off a blown lead and losing effort in game one, expect the Celtics to come out firing on all cylinders in this bounce-back situation and for White’s shooting to improve and hit closer to his career averages.
And get me the 16 points I need here.

Derrick White Ov 15′, -115