Joe Jensen

Our Padres-D’backs prediction is all about fading a struggling ace. See why Zac Gallen’s surprising home struggles create a huge betting opportunity tonight.

Our Yankees-Red Sox prediction focuses on a classic revenge spot. See our expert pick as the Yankees look to even the series with their ace on the hill.

Our Twins vs. Astros prediction is all about the elite arms on the mound. See our expert pick for a game that promises to be a classic pitcher’s duel.

The so called experts say Spencer Strider (0-5, 5.40 ERA) can’t find his form, but facing baseball’s worst road team (6-29) could change everything. Colorado’s Dollander (6.85 ERA) against Atlanta’s resurgent offense screams mismatch, yet this line movement tells a different story.

The odds favor the Mets (-138), but Tampa’s Rasmussen (2.22 ERA) has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 9 of 12 starts. Despite New York’s 27-8 home record, the Rays are 7-3 in their last 10. This line screams underdog value.

The books see Quintana’s 2.66 ERA as dominant, but St. Louis desperately needs to snap a six-game skid. Milwaukee’s 22-14 home record against the Cardinals’ dismal 14-20 road mark screams advantage, yet this modest -124 line doesn’t add up.

Today’s White Sox-Rangers betting pick ignores the massive moneyline. We’ve found value in a different market based on the huge pitching mismatch.

The books want LA Angels, but Baltimore’s 11-7 record since May 23rd tells a different story. Sugano (3.23 ERA) faces Anderson (3.99) at Camden Yards where the Orioles are 7-5 behind their Japanese ace. This +110 price screams value.

Our betting prediction for Pirates-Cubs is all-in on a bounce-back. See why we’re targeting the heavy favorite after yesterday’s upset loss.

Flaherty’s 2.31 home ERA welcomes Cincinnati, where the Reds have been getting zero respect despite their balanced offense. This line screams value somewhere when examining the 8-run total at pitcher-friendly Comerica.