Knicks vs Pacers Game 6 Predictions, Odds & Picks

by | May 31, 2025 | nba

Jalen Brunson New York Knicks Guard

New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers: Game 6 Betting Preview

Date & Time: Saturday, May 31st | 8:00 PM ET

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

TV Coverage: TNT

Point Spread: New York +4 / Indiana -4

Total: 219.5 points

Money Line: New York +149 / Indiana -176

Series Status

This is Game 6 of the Eastern Conference series. The Knicks lead the series and can advance to the Finals with a win tonight.

Previous Game Recap

Final Score: New York 111, Indiana 94

The Knicks dominated Thursday’s Game 5, covering as 4.5-point favorites with a 17-point victory margin. The game total of 205 points stayed well under the 222.5 O/U line. A crucial 12-0 New York run stretched their lead from 76-64 to 88-64, and Indiana never recovered.

Team Analysis

New York Knicks (51-31)

  • Season Record: 51-31 SU, 51-48 ATS
  • Last 3 Road Games: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS (averaging 109 PPG)
  • Last 5 Games as Underdog: 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS
  • Injury Report: No injuries reported

Indiana Pacers (50-32)

  • Season Record: 50-32 SU, 47-48 ATS
  • Last 3 Home Games: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS (averaging 115 PPG, allowing 118 PPG)
  • Last 10 Games as Favorite: 8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS
  • Injury Report: Tony Bradley (Questionable – Hip), Isaiah Jackson (Out – Achilles)

Key Player Performances (Game 5)

New York Knicks

  • Jalen Brunson: 32 points (66.7% FG, 4-7 3PT), 14 points in 1st quarter, 16 in 3rd
  • Karl-Anthony Towns: 24 points, 13 rebounds, 12 points in 2nd quarter
  • Josh Hart: 12 points, 10 rebounds
  • Mikal Bridges: 12 points
  • Team Stats: 49.4% FG, 27.6% 3PT (8-29), 15-22 FT

Indiana Pacers

  • Bennedict Mathurin: 23 points, 9 rebounds (60% FG, 2-4 3PT)
  • Pascal Siakam: 15 points
  • Obi Toppin: 11 points
  • Team Stats: 40.5% FG, 33.3% 3PT (10-30)

Head-to-Head Trends

  • Last 5 Meetings: Average margin of victory 1 point
  • Series ATS Record: Indiana 3-2
  • Combined Average: 231 points per game
  • Over/Under Record: 2-3 (Under)

Betting Trends

New York Knicks

  • Road ATS (Last 3): 1-2
  • As Underdog (Last 5): 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS

Indiana Pacers

  • Home ATS (Last 3): 2-1
  • As Favorite (Last 10): 8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS

Analysis & Prediction

The Knicks dominated Game 5 behind Jalen Brunson’s explosive 32-point performance, shooting efficiently at 66.7% from the field. Karl-Anthony Towns provided strong interior presence with 24 points and 13 rebounds. New York’s defense was exceptional, holding Indiana to just 40.5% shooting and limiting their usually potent offense to 94 points.

Indiana struggled offensively despite Bennedict Mathurin’s 23-point effort. The Pacers shot poorly from the field and couldn’t establish rhythm against New York’s defense. However, playing at home in an elimination game, Indiana has the depth advantage in this condensed series schedule.

The key factor is New York’s limited bench depth compared to Indiana’s rotation. In a high-stakes Game 6, the Pacers’ home court advantage and deeper roster could be decisive factors in forcing a Game 7.

Betting Pick

Indiana Pacers -4

In this elimination game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana’s depth advantage becomes crucial in the condensed playoff schedule. The Pacers have been solid at home (2-1 ATS in last 3) and should respond strongly after Thursday’s poor performance. New York’s limited bench rotation could be exposed in this high-intensity elimination game.

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