Oakland vs. Robert Morris: Expert ATS Pick & Horizon Tournament Preview

Oakland Golden Grizzlies (15-17 SU, 16-15-1 ATS) vs. Robert Morris Colonials (23-8 SU, 24-7 ATS)

When: Monday, March 10th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Corteva Coliseum, IN, Indianapolis

TV: ESPNU

Point Spread: OAK +3.5/ROBMS -3.5

Total: 140.5

Money Line: Oakland Golden Grizzlies +138/-170

Notable Injuries

Golden Grizzlies

Colonials

Recent Form

Oakland Golden Grizzlies Recent Game/Games

Oakland improved to 15-17 on the season with a 72-64 road win over Milwaukee on Thursday, March 6th. The Golden Grizzlies were +8 underdogs heading into the game and not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.

Oakland led 39-31 at halftime, and both teams scored 33 points in the 2nd half. The combined points of 136 fell short of the 149.5 O/U line.

Robert Morris Colonials Recent Game/Games

Robert Morris improved to 23-8 on the season with an 83-62 win over Wright State on Thursday, March 6th. The Colonials, who were -6.5 favorites, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total points (145) fell just under the O/U line of 149.5.

Leading 41-31 at halftime, Robert Morris maintained their strong play in the 2nd half, scoring 42 points while holding Wright State to 31.

Analysis

Oakland’s offense was clicking in their last game, shooting 51.9% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 59.3%. They hit 7 of 18 threes (38.9%) and were perfect from the line, going 9 for 9.

Allen Mukeba was a perfect 9 for nine from the field, scoring 21 points, while Themus Fulks and Buru Naivalurua each added 20. Fulks also dished out six assists, matching Jamichael Stillwell, who contributed 16 points on 8 of 12 shooting.

Oakland’s defense gave up 64 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 51% from the field. The Golden Grizzlies struggled to contain two-point shots, as the other team hit 63% of their attempts, going 23/36.

From beyond the arc, Oakland held the opposing team to 27% shooting, with just five made threes on 18 attempts. The Golden Grizzlies also limited free-throw damage, with the other team hitting only 3/12 for 25%. Oakland gave up four offensive rebounds.

Robert Morris put up 83 points in their last game, shooting 47.4% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 56.1%. They hit 60.7% of their two-point attempts and 34.5% from beyond the arc, connecting on 10 threes. At the free-throw line, they made 19 of 28 attempts, good for 67.9%.

The Colonials dished out 18 assists and grabbed 13 offensive rebounds. Kam Woods led the team with 19 points, while Michael Imariagbe and Brandon Noel each added 15. DJ Smith contributed 14 points and seven assists, and Ryan Prather Jr. was efficient, hitting 5 of 6 shots, including 3 of 4 from deep.

Robert Morris gave up 62 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 47% from the field. Inside the arc, the Colonials allowed 60% shooting, as the other team went 17/28 on two-point attempts.

From three-point range, Robert Morris’ defense held their opponents to 34% shooting, with 10 made threes on 29 attempts. The Colonials also sent the other team to the free-throw line 28 times, where they converted 19, shooting 67%.

Betting Trends

• When looking at their past three road matchups, Oakland has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 75 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
• When looking at their past five home matchups, Robert Morris has an ATS record of 5-0 while averaging 73 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
• In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Golden Grizzlies have a straight-up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Colonials have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Oakland was one of the best stories of the NCAA tournament last season, and they have already upset Milwaukee in their previous Horizon Tournament game last week. Now, they take on a Robert Morris squad that was the regular season champs in the conference. Last season, Oakland was all about their ability to beat teams from outside. But Robert Morris is the better 3-point shooting team, and I see this playing out tonight. I have Robert Morris winning and covering.